The NFL is starting to make more sense over the past week or so. After two months of uncertainty, teams are starting to really define themselves. That means there could be some serious money to be made.
Oh, what a week it was for this bettor. After finally breaking the losing streak last week, Week 7 was as close to a full sweep for this writer as possible. Winning 10 games was huge. After a few weeks with double digit losses early in the season, it seems like we’re really starting to hit our stride.
That doesn’t mean the NFL is without it’s confusing teams. The one thing consistent about the Cleveland Browns is they will go to overtime. The Jacksonville Jaguars are a complete and utter tire fire, but we know they can put 40 on their next opponent or shut them out. This Atlanta Falcons team couldn’t keep the Giants from pushing, despite the Giants doing everything in their power to mess it up.
Still, we’re as close as every to figuring out this league a little better. Not just because the we had a good week with the bets, but also because the good teams and the bad teams are starting to separate. The really good teams are blowing out the competition, and the spread makers are trying to make spreads that get people to bet, but don’t ruin the house. We’re in the sweet spot of the NFL season. Time to make some money.
Last Week: 10-3-1
Season Record: 45-52-5
As usual, we get out lines from Westgate.
Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans (-7.5)
As we always do, we start with Thursday Night Football. Right off the bat, the line is pretty far out there. The Houston Texans are riding a four game winning streak after holding the Jaguars to barely any offense. However, outside of last week’s game, the Texans haven’t beaten anyone by more than touchdown.
Meanwhile, the Miami Dolphins are still trying to prove they are a legit contender in the AFC. The Fins are coming off a pretty bad loss to the Detroit Lions, and they are likely to have to play Brock Osweiler again, but more than a touchdown? That’s too much, even with Albert Wilson going down.
The Texans may be home, and the Dolphins may be playing Osweiler, but there’s a lot to be worried about with the Texans to give this many points. Deshaun Watson couldn’t even fly from Texas to Florida because of injuries. The team seems a little overconfident for how bad they played the first three weeks of the season. The Texans should win, but not by more than a touchdown.
Houston 27, Miami 21